First, I’d like to recap the results from my Boom/Bust picks for the fantasy football kick-off week. In doing so I realize I should go ahead and state what scoring parameters I am applying to my decisions. All of my deeply thought-out selections are based on full PPR and 6 point TD for all positions. Now, let’s get to the nitty-gritty.
Week 1 Boom or Bust Results
Carson Wentz (Boom): Leading off on a great foot here. I had Carson Wentz as a top 12 QB against the Seattle Seahawks. Being that he ended up as the QB17 I hitched my horse to the Wentz buggy a wee bit early. This goes down as a nope!
Kareem Hunt (Boom): I had him finishing as a “Mid RB2.” With 6 carries for 33 yards, a rushing TD, 3/3 receiving for 28 yards, and a 2-point conversion he finished as RB14. Ended up doing a bit better than I thought. Right.
Julio Jones (Boom): I had said I could see 3 top 12 WRs come from the TEN vs ARI game. Both Hopkins and A.J. Brown did their job at WR and WR10 respectively. Christian Kirk ended up WR13. So close! Not really as the 3rd WR I was thinking was Julio Jones who ended up as…WR78. That was rough! Wrong.
Logan Thomas (Boom): I may have gotten a little cocky with this one. Through these Boom/Bust predictions I am wanting to identify starters for the week that is not a typical plug and play. Or, ones that are and I may not agree with. I technically predicted Logan Thomas could “sneak into the top 6 TE.” Well, he ended up as TE7. I feel good about the pick but “technically” I was wrong.
Justin Herbert (Bust): Going 31/47 for 331 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, plus 4 carries for -1 yards and a fumble. All that adds up to QB24. My prediction was a bit vague but was stated that he could be out of the top 12. With that, I’ll say I was right.
Chris Carson (Bust): Even though he ended up getting the number of touches we expect from him. With a total of 19 touches (16 carries and 3 receptions), he eclipsed the 100 total yard mark with 117 yards. My prediction was towards the back of the RB2 range. He ended the week at RB21. I’ll say that was a square bullseye. Right.
Brandon Aiyuk (Bust): I’ll make this short. He really didn’t even play. In the world of fantasy football that is not useful. Right.
Mike Gesicki (Bust): I had said he would be outside the TE1 rankings. I’ll say this, I did not know the G in “Ole Mickey G” stood for Goose. Personally not feeling too great about this week’s potential either. His bust candidacy proved to be right.
The final tally for my fantasy football week 1 prediction is 5.5/8 (counting Logan Thomas as a half). Now let me better that score this week!
Week 2 Boom Candidates
LA Chargers QB, Justin Herbert vs DAL
This game is going to be a point-scoring display. Justin Herbert has one less thing to worry about now with the Cowboy’s premier pass rusher, Demarcus Lawrence, out for several weeks. Tom Brady went for 379 yards and 4 TDs last week. I am not comparing the two quarterbacks but, that kind of production would have me surprised at all. Definitely a top 12 QB start this week.
Philadelphia Eagles RB, Miles Sanders vs SF
Even if the Detroit RB committee didn’t just lacerate San Francisco I would still have Miles Sanders here. Taking 66% of the snaps last week with a total of 20 touches easily allows him RB1 potential. Even with Gainwell getting the loan rushing TD Miles Sanders still ended the week as RB13. He will make that additional jump this week to be an RB1. In addition, Gainwell may end up being fantasy-relevant sooner than later.
Cinncinatti Bengals WR, Tee Higgins @ CHI
The Bengals are going to have to win with their offense. Spearheading that is obviously Joe Burrow. Ja’Marr Chase has the college connection with Burrow but, Tee Higgins has a year under his belt. I see this passing core as a 1-A and 1-B. Chase saw the lion’s share of the snaps but the ending numbers last week were not too different. Though Chase will get his, I see Higgins as a lock to be a WR2 with a top 16 finish as a good possibility.
New England Patriots TE, Jonnu Smith @ NYJ
Both Jonnu Smith and Hunter Henry shared almost identical snap counts (Smith 73% and Henry 72%). I am going with Jonnu in this one because I feel like he offers a little bit more of what Belichick likes to see. Jonnu Smith is one of the most athletic TEs while still bringing that nasty, try to tackle me I dare you, mentality. One of the few TEs too that can take a 15-yard curl to the house. Predicting a top 12 performance this week.
Week 2 Bust Candidates
Houston Texans QB, Tyrod Taylor @ CLE
Debated putting Tyrod here. Purely for the reason that I don’t see him rostered in many fantasy leagues. Reading chats though I see he is tempting some people. With that being said please do not start him! Cleveland is a completely different beast than Jacksonville. Tyrod Taylor is a veteran in this league and has seen it all. All that time has provided us enough video and stats to know that Tyrod is terribly inconsistent. The last time he put together 2 consecutive weeks with 20+ points was in weeks 6 & 7 in 2016. He will not be a top 12 QB for sure. Gonna say he will be out of the top 18 this week (for you deeper leagues).
Jacksonville Jaguars RB, James Robinson vs DEN
I go into this a little bit already in my Sit ‘Em/Start ‘Em article. Carlos Hyde had 64.3% of the rushing share. To give an idea of RBs that had that last week Hyde was in the Alvin Kamara and Miles Sanders range. James Robinson, who touched the ball 289 times in 14 games, relies on getting volume. Under Urban Meyer, he saw 35.7% in his season debut. Last week that put him with the same share as Kylin Hill and Tony Jones Jr. Denver is going to smother Jacksonville and James Robinson will not be in the top 24 RBs this week.
New York Jets WR, Corey Davis vs NE
Corey Davis is going to have his full-blown break out this year. The situation is perfect. Zach Wilson is going to be extending plays with his feet. Also, the Jets will have to be putting up points. However, the New England Patriots are in town. This game is not going to have an exciting amount of offense. Adding to that is Jamison Crowder may be returning (game-time decision). Crowder is the PPR fantasy darling who has a knack for getting open. All in all, I think Corey Davis will have a hard time cracking into the top 30 this week.
Cleveland Browns TE, Austin Hooper vs HOU
Baker Mayfield has so many weapons. They displayed they are able to hang with the top dogs last week. However, Austin Hooper does not appear to be in the top 6 of those weapons. Even with Odell Beckham missing this upcoming game, Hooper is a low-end fantasy TE2. Overall, dropping him would most likely be your best course of action outside of deeper dynasty leagues.
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